Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Stalls Below 25,800

Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Stalls Below 25,800

NASDAQ 100 | Daily Technical Outlook

 

Market Structure

The Nasdaq 100 has extended its bullish recovery, climbed steadily over recent sessions and approached the key resistance area around 25,780 – 25,820.
However, recent candles across intraday timeframes show slowing momentum, with smaller-bodied candles and repeated upper wicks—indicating early signs of buyer exhaustion.

Despite the broader uptrend remaining intact on the daily timeframe, intraday charts (M15, H1) show price beginning to stall, suggesting a possible short-term pullback before any renewed bullish continuation.

The market remains bullish overall, but short-term consolidation or correction risk is increasing.

 

Key Resistance Zone

NASDAQ 100 is facing immediate resistance at:

  • 25,780 – 25,820 (current rejection zone)
  • 25,950
  • 26,100 (major upside continuation level)

As long as price stays below 25,820, buyers may struggle to push the index further without a corrective move.

 

Key Support Zone

Immediate support is found at:

  • 25,600 – 25,620
  • 25,420
  • 25,250 (strong structural support)

A break below 25,600 could trigger a deeper intraday correction toward 25,420, and failure there would expose 25,250.

 

Expectations

 

Bearish Scenario (Primary)

If NASDAQ 100 remains below 25,820, short-term bearish pressure may develop.
A break of 25,600 would likely lead toward:

  • 25,420
  • 25,250

Momentum indicators suggest fading strength, increasing the probability of a corrective pullback.

Bullish Scenario (Alternative)

A decisive breakout above 25,820 would revive strong bullish momentum, opening the path toward:

  • 25,950
  • 26,100

This scenario requires a strong bullish candle and sustained price action above the resistance range.

 

Outlook

 

NASDAQ 100 remains in a broader uptrend but is now showing clear signs of near-term exhaustion below key resistance.
A pullback toward 25,600 or 25,420 is likely before buyers attempt another push higher.
A breakout above 25,820 is required to confirm renewed bullish strength.