BTCUSD | Technical Outlook
Market Structure
Bitcoin remains in a bearish continuation phase across the intraday and higher timeframes. The market is trending lower with a sequence of lower highs, and the latest selloff pushed price into a fresh breakdown leg before a minor stabilization attempt.
On the M15 chart, BTCUSD is currently trading around $88,346, following a sharp downside impulse and a weak rebound that failed to shift structure back to bullish.
Key Resistance Zone
The nearest supply area sits at $89,200 – $90,000, where prior intraday support has flipped into resistance and aligns with the area of repeated rejection after the breakdown.
Additional resistance levels:
- $90,900 – $91,700 (prior range / breakdown shelf)
- $93,000 – $95,000 (H1/H4 structure & heavier supply)
As long as BTC holds below $90,000, upside attempts are likely to remain corrective rather than trend changing.
Key Support Zone
Immediate support is holding at $88,000 – $88,350, the current reaction zone after the latest selloff.
If this floor breaks, downside risk expands toward:
- $87,000 – $87,500
- $85,500 – $86,000 (major daily structural zone / next deeper support pocket)
A clean break down below $88,000 would likely accelerate bearish momentum, especially with the moving averages still pointing down on the lower timeframes.
Expectations
Bearish Scenario (Primary)
Momentum remains bearish while price trades below $90,000.
If $88,000 fails, expect continuation toward $87,000, then potentially $85,500 – $86,000.
Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
A recovery becomes more credible only if BTC reclaims $90,000 and holds above it. That would open the door for a relief rebound toward:
- $90,900 – $91,700
- $93,000 (key checkpoint that must be reclaimed to weaken the bearish structure)
Until then, rebounds are likely to be sold into.
Outlook
BTCUSD is still under strong downside pressure, with the broader structure leaning bearish across H1/H4 and the Daily chart reflecting a heavy rejection and renewed weakness. The key pivot remains $90,000 on the upside and $88,000 on the downside, holding above support may allow a short-term bounce, but a breakdown below $88,000 risks a deeper slide into the $87,000 → $86,000 zone.
