BTCUSD | Daily Technical Outlook
Market Structure
BTCUSD remains under a dominant bearish structure after failing to recover from its previous breakdown. The sharp selloff from the $90,000–$92,000 region has transitioned into a broader consolidation phase, with price now stabilizing near the $78,000 area.
Despite the recent bounce from the lows, bullish momentum remains corrective in nature, as BTC continues to trade below key moving averages and former support zones, signaling that sellers still control the broader trend.
Key Resistance Zone
The primary resistance zone is located at $79,500 – $80,500, aligned with recent failed rebound attempts and short-term supply. Any upside move into this area is likely to attract selling pressure.
Additional resistance levels:
- $83,000
- $85,000 – $86,000 (major bearish rejection zone)
As long as BTC trades below $80,500, the bearish structure remains intact.
Key Support Zone
Immediate support is found around $77,500 – $78,000, where the latest decline has paused and short-term buyers stepped in.
A confirmed breakdown below $77,500 would open the door toward deeper downside levels:
- $75,000
- $72,000 – $73,000 (major structural support zone)
A failure to hold above $72,000 would significantly accelerate the broader downtrend.
Expectations
Bearish Scenario (Primary)
The prevailing momentum favors further downside as long as BTC remains capped below $80,500.
A break below $77,500 would likely trigger renewed selling pressure, exposing $75,000 initially, with potential extension toward the $72,000 region.
Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
A sustained recovery above $80,500 would signal short-term stabilization and allow for a corrective move toward:
- $83,000
- $85,000 – $86,000
However, the bearish structure will only begin to weaken if price reclaims and holds above $86,000.
Outlook
Bitcoin remains under strong bearish pressure, with recent rebounds lacking follow-through. While short-term consolidation is developing near $78,000, the broader outlook stays negative unless BTC can reclaim key resistance levels. A breakdown below current support could accelerate the decline toward deeper structural lows.
