NASDAQ 100 | Technical Outlook
Market Structure
The NASDAQ 100 is experiencing a strong recovery phase after a sharp corrective sell-off, with price rebounding aggressively from recent lows. The prior downside impulse broke through multiple intraday support zones but selling pressure was absorbed near the lower structural base, triggering a swift bullish reaction.
The rebound from the 25,200 – 25,300 area has restored short-term bullish momentum, pushing the index back above key intraday levels. However, despite the recovery, price remains capped below major resistance, keeping the broader structure in a corrective recovery rather than full bullish continuation.
Key Resistance Zone
The nearest resistance is now located at 25,900 – 26,000, an area defined by previous H4 rejection and supply from the last bearish leg. Any upside attempt into this zone is likely to encounter renewed selling pressure.
Additional resistance levels:
- 26,200
- 26,400 (major structural resistance)
As long as the NASDAQ 100 trades below 26,000, upside momentum remains vulnerable to rejection.
Key Support Zone
Immediate support is holding at 25,700 – 25,750, where the recent recovery remains anchored.
A breakdown below 25,700 would weaken the recovery structure and expose lower downside targets:
- 25,500
- 25,200 – 25,250 (major structural support)
A failure to hold 25,200 would invalidate the recovery phase and shift momentum back toward a deeper corrective move.
Expectations
Bullish Scenario (Primary)
The current structure favors continued upside as long as price holds above 25,700.
A sustained push above 25,900 – 26,000 would allow the NASDAQ 100 to extend toward:
- 26,200
- 26,400, reinforcing bullish continuation on higher timeframes.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to break above 26,000, followed by a move back below 25,700, would likely trigger renewed selling pressure.
A break below 25,500 would open the door toward 25,200, with increasing downside risk if this level fails.
Outlook
The NASDAQ 100 is in a short-term recovery phase following a sharp correction, supported by strong buying interest from key support levels. While momentum has improved, the structure remains fragile below 26,000, and buyers must reclaim this level to confirm bullish continuation.
A loss of 25,700 would signal renewed downside risk, potentially pulling the index back toward deeper support zones.
