EURUSD Analysis: Support Break Signals Short-Term Bearish Bias

EURUSD Analysis: Support Break Signals Short-Term Bearish Bias

EURUSD | Technical Outlook

Market Structure

EURUSD is showing a clear loss of bullish momentum after failing to sustain its recent upside extension. Price has rolled over from recent highs and is now trading below key short-term moving averages, signaling a shift toward bearish corrective pressure.
The recent rejection from the upper range confirms that buyers are losing control, as price now gravitates toward a critical horizontal support zone where the market will decide short-term direction.

Key Resistance Zone

Immediate resistance is located around 1.1830 – 1.1850, where previous bullish momentum stalled and selling pressure emerged.
Any rebound toward this zone is likely to face renewed selling interest.

Additional resistance levels:

  • 1.1880
  • 1.1920 – 1.1950 (major bearish rejection zone)

As long as EURUSD remains below 1.1850, upside attempts are expected to remain corrective.

Key Support Zone

Immediate support is found at 1.1810 – 1.1800, a level currently being tested.
A confirmed break below this zone would expose deeper downside targets:

  • 1.1765 – 1.1750
  • 1.1700 (major structural support)

Failure to hold 1.1800 would likely accelerate bearish momentum and confirm a broader corrective phase.

Expectations

Bearish Scenario (Primary)

The prevailing structure favors further downside as long as price remains capped below 1.1850.
A clean break below 1.1800 would likely trigger continuation toward 1.1765, with potential extension toward 1.1700.

Bullish Scenario (Alternative)

A recovery back above 1.1850 would be the first signal of short-term stabilization.
If reclaimed, price could attempt a move toward:

  • 1.1880
    1.1920, where sellers are expected to re-emerge unless momentum strengthens decisively.

Outlook

EURUSD is transitioning into a bearish corrective phase, with sellers gradually regaining control after rejecting higher levels. The structure remains vulnerable below 1.1850, while a confirmed break under 1.1800 would likely open the door for deeper downside toward key support zones.