Nasdaq 100 | Technical Outlook
Market Structure
The Nasdaq 100 remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, with the daily trend still supported by rising moving averages and higher lows. After a sharp corrective drop earlier in the week, price staged a strong rebound from the 25,300–25,350 demand region, reclaiming short-term structure on the M15 and H1 charts. Momentum has stabilized, and price is now consolidating above reclaimed intraday support, suggesting the move lower was corrective rather than a trend reversal.
Key Resistance Zone
Upside progress is capped by a well-defined supply area:
- 25,670 – 25,720 (near-term intraday resistance and prior breakdown zone)
- 25,900 – 26,000 (major psychological resistance and daily supply)
A clean break and sustained hold above 25,720 would strengthen bullish continuation potential toward the upper daily resistance band.
Key Support Zone
Demand remains layered below current price:
- 25,550 – 25,500 (intraday demand and short-term structure support)
- 25,300 – 25,250 (major H4 demand and rebound base)
A decisive break below 25,300 would expose deeper corrective risk toward lower daily supports, though this would still be viewed as corrective within the broader uptrend unless structure fully fails.
Expectations
Bullish Scenario (Primary)
As long as price holds above 25,500, buyers are likely to remain in control. Continued consolidation followed by a breakout above 25,720 could open the door for a renewed push toward 25,900 and potentially fresh highs.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to hold above 25,500, followed by a breakdown below 25,300, would indicate a deeper pullback phase. In this case, downside would likely remain corrective unless accompanied by a broader daily structure break.
Outlook
The Nasdaq 100 remains technically constructive, with higher-timeframe structure intact despite recent volatility. While near-term consolidation may persist below resistance, the overall bias stays bullish as long as key demand zones continue to hold. A confirmed breakout above 25,720 would likely mark the start of the next expansion phase.
