Nasdaq 100 | Technical Outlook
Market Structure
Nasdaq 100 continues to trade within a broader bullish higher-timeframe structure, with price stabilizing after a corrective pullback. On the daily and H4 charts, the index remains above its rising trend base, signaling that the recent decline was corrective rather than trend-reversing. Lower timeframes show a steady recovery, with price holding above short-term moving averages and forming higher lows, indicating rebuilding bullish momentum as buyers gradually regain control.
Key Resistance Zone
Upside progress is currently capped by a well-defined supply area:
- 25,700 – 25,780: Near-term resistance and recent rejection zone
- 25,850 – 26,000: Major psychological and extension resistance
A sustained break and hold above 25,780 would confirm bullish continuation and open the door toward a retest of the upper resistance band.
Key Support Zone
The index is supported by layered demand below current price:
- 25,550 – 25,600: Near-term support and intraday demand
- 25,300 – 25,350: Deeper structural support and prior breakout base
A decisive break below 25,300 would signal a deeper corrective phase toward lower daily supports.
Expectations
Bullish Scenario (Primary)
As long as Nasdaq 100 holds above 25,550, buyers are likely to remain in control. A clean break above 25,780 would strengthen bullish continuation prospects, targeting 25,850 and potentially the 26,000 regions.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to hold 25,550 followed by a breakdown below 25,300 would indicate increased downside risk, exposing the index to a deeper pullback. This scenario would remain corrective unless the broader daily structure breaks.
Outlook
Nasdaq 100 remains technically constructive overall. While short-term consolidation may persist near resistance, the broader bias stays bullish as long as price holds above key support zones. A confirmed breakout above 25,780 would likely trigger the next upside expansion phase.
