NASDAQ 100 | Technical Outlook
Market Structure
The NASDAQ 100 is currently attempting a recovery after a sharp corrective sell-off. Following the drop toward the $25,250 – $25,300 area, buyers stepped in aggressively, driving price higher and shifting short-term momentum back to the upside.
Despite the rebound, the broader structure still reflects a corrective phase within a larger bullish trend, with price now approaching a key decision zone.
Key Resistance Zone
Immediate resistance is located at $25,500 – $25,600, a zone defined by prior breakdowns and intraday selling pressure. This area has already capped recent upside attempts.
Additional resistance levels:
• $25,750
• $26,000 (major psychological and structural resistance)
As long as the index remains below $25,600, upside momentum may struggle to extend further.
Key Support Zone
Immediate support now sits at $25,300 – $25,350, which aligns with the recent higher low and short-term moving average support.
A break below this zone would expose deeper downside levels:
• $25,050
• $24,750 – $24,850 (major structural support)
Holding above $25,300 keeps the recovery attempt intact.
Expectations
Bullish Scenario (Primary)
If price holds above $25,300 and breaks above $25,600, upside momentum could extend toward $25,750 and potentially $26,000. A sustained move above $26,000 would signal a return to the broader bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to clear $25,600 followed by a break below $25,300 would likely trigger renewed selling pressure, exposing $25,050 and possibly the $24,750 zone.
Outlook
The NASDAQ 100 is stabilizing after a sharp pullback, with buyers defending key support levels. While short-term momentum has improved, the index remains at a critical resistance zone. A breakout above $25,600 would favor further upside, while a loss of $25,300 could reopen downside risk.
