NASDAQ 100 | Technical Outlook
Market Structure
The NASDAQ 100 is trading under renewed short-term bearish pressure after failing to sustain its recent recovery attempt. Price action on the lower timeframes shows a sequence of lower highs and increasing selling momentum, while the broader structure on H4 and Daily reflects a corrective pullback within a previously established uptrend.
The index is currently hovering around the $25,160 area, which is acting as a key short-term support level.
Key Resistance Zone
The nearest resistance is located at $25,300 – $25,400, where recent consolidation and moving average confluence are capping upside attempts.
Additional resistance levels:
- $25,600
- $25,900 – $26,000 (major supply and prior rejection zone)
As long as the index remains below $25,400, upside momentum is likely to stay limited.
Key Support Zone
Immediate support is positioned at $25,100 – $25,160, where price is currently attempting to stabilize.
A breakdown below $25,100 would expose lower targets:
- $24,900
- $24,600 – $24,700 (major structural support zone on H4)
Losing $24,600 would shift the broader structure toward a deeper corrective phase.
Expectations
Bearish Scenario (Primary)
If price remains below $25,400 and breaks under $25,100, selling pressure could accelerate toward $24,900, with potential extension toward the $24,600 zone.
Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
A sustained recovery above $25,400 would signal short-term stabilization, opening the door for a move toward $25,600 and possibly $25,900. A break above $26,000 would be required to fully restore bullish dominance.
Outlook
The NASDAQ 100 is facing short-term bearish pressure while trading near a critical support area. The structure remains vulnerable below $25,400, and a breakdown under $25,100 could trigger a deeper correction. Only a strong reclaim above $25,400 would shift momentum back in favor of buyers.
